This is a live Polymarket analytics brief for Türkiye vs. United States (World Cup, Jun 25, 2026). Below you'll find moneyline odds, whale positions, market quality scores, and bot activity — all pulled from PolyCollect's live market page. Use it to see where large wallets are positioned before kickoff.
$7M traded ahead of kickoff · United States favored at 53¢ YES · +37.2% 24h net flow on the United States win market.
At a glance — Türkiye vs United States Polymarket volume
| Total volume | $7M | High |
| 24h volume | $4.1M | Moderate |
| Total liquidity | $5.3M | High |
| 24h net flow | +37.2% toward YES | Moderate |
| Leading outcome | United States win · 53¢ YES | |
| Spread (moneyline) | 1¢ | Moderate |
| Resolves | Jun 25, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT | Soon |
Türkiye vs United States Polymarket moneyline odds
| Outcome | YES | NO | Liquidity | Whales (Y / N) | 24h flow | Bots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States win | 53¢ | 48¢ | $1.5M | 8 / 8 | +37.2% | 11% |
| Türkiye win | 26¢ | 75¢ | $714K | 0 / 1 | +96.7% | 10% |
| Draw | 23¢ | 78¢ | $627K | 0 / 0 | +85.5% | 23% |
Whale capital is concentrated on United States win YES — $1.5M on YES vs $1.1M on NO on the United States win market alone.
Market score & bot activity
PolyCollect Market Score ranks each outcome by volume, liquidity, and spread (0–100). Bot activity estimates the share of recent volume from mechanical or repetitive trade patterns.
| Outcome | Market score | Bot activity |
|---|---|---|
| United States win | 98High | 11%Low |
| Türkiye win | 92High | 10%Low |
| Draw | 86High | 23%Low |
United States win scores 98 on Market Score — deep liquidity and a tight spread.
What this means
United States is heavily favored at 53¢ YES, with $7M in volume and a market score of 98. Whale capital is stacked on United States win YES ($1.5M vs $1.1M on NO), and the largest visible position is GoalLineGhost at $593K on United States win YES.
Track this market live → Open Türkiye vs. United States on PolyCollect · Whale Index · World Cup markets · Canada vs. Bosnia: The Battle of the Whales · Ecuador vs. Germany Polymarket Odds & Whales
Whale positions on Türkiye vs United States
Where large wallets sit can hint at how informed traders are positioned — whale concentration on one side, split books, or fresh entries often precede sharper moves in net flow and price. Explore holders on PolyCollect — the Whale Index opens on the live event page.
| Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalLineGhost | United States win | YES | $593K |
| mooseborzoi | United States win | YES | $320K |
| BreakTheBank | United States win | NO | $271K |
| wr0ngw4yb3tt0r | United States win | NO | $206K |
| 0x076daa87… | United States win | NO | $165K |
| sleepy-panda | United States win | YES | $158K |
| skyblue77 | United States win | NO | $148K |
| purplegatto | United States win | YES | $131K |
| swisstony | United States win | NO | $121K |
| AnonymousUsername | United States win | YES | $109K |
The largest visible position is GoalLineGhost with $593K on United States win YES. BreakTheBank also holds $271K on United States win NO.
PolyCollect Advanced Analytics · Jun 25, 2026 · Not financial advice.