World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Live Polymarket analytics for World Cup: Nation to Reach Final — $9.4M volume. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final
54%Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final
37%Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final
33%Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final
25%Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final
18%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.