UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) - Jul 12, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) - Jul 12, 2026 — $497K volume · 70% O/U 0.5 Rounds. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
O/U 0.5 Rounds
70%UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
65%O/U 1.5 Rounds
56%Max Holloway
53%the fight
53%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.
It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.
It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events