PolyCollect Smart Signals
Four quick signals — whales, whale conviction, bots, and market score — to help you decide if this market is worth your time.
| Indicator | Value | Smart Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Whale Count | 0 | Low |
| Whale Conviction | N/A | — |
| Bot Detection | 3% | Low |
| Market Score | 56 | Low |
Outcome Overview — Next Claude Opus released by...
Ranked by YES price — see which outcome the market favors most.
Overview Market Metrics — Next Claude Opus released by...
The numbers that tell you if you can enter and exit safely — volume, liquidity, spread, and 24h flow.
| Metric | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Total volume | $731K | Low |
| 24h volume | $305K | Low |
| Total liquidity | $73.8K | Low |
| 24h net flow | +98.7% toward YES | High |
| Market Spread | 0.6¢ | Moderate |
| Resolves | 161d |
Whale Positions on Next Claude Opus released by...
Top whale wallets across all outcomes · Open Whale Index
| Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size |
|---|
Market Health
Market Score: how tradeable this market is right now — based on liquidity, volume, and spread. Bot Detection: how much volume looks automated. High bot activity can mean faster moves and more noise.
| Outcome | Market score | Bot detection |
|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026 | 56Low | 3%Low |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026 | 47Low | 3%Low |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026 | 63Low | 1%Low |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026 | 59Low | 8%Low |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026 | 41Low | 9%Low |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026 | 59Low | 9%Low |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026 | 70Moderate | 9%Low |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026 | 21Low | — |
Momentum — Next Claude Opus released by...
Sharpest 24h move: Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026 (-100.0% on YES).
| Outcome | YES now | 24h price Δ | Imbalance (24h) | 1h volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026 | 99¢ | -0.5%Low | +98.7% | — |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026 | 98¢ | -0.5%Low | +93.4% | — |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026 | 95¢ | -3.7%Low | +36.9% | $45 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026 | 82¢ | -7.7%Moderate | +20.8% | $118 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026 | 67¢ | -24.0%High | +86.3% | $10 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026 | 49¢ | -6.7%Moderate | +75.6% | — |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026 | 33¢ | -59.4%High | +48.2% | $1.6K |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026 | 0¢ | -100.0%High | — | — |
Not financial advice. Verify rules on Polymarket. If you don't know how to use or read a market, check out our Guide.
PolyCollect Advanced Analytics · Dec 31, 2026 · Not financial advice.