China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka - Oct 9, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka - Oct 9, 2026 — $93.3K volume · 50% Timofeeva vs. Osaka: Match O/U 21.5. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
Set Handicap: Naomi Osaka (-1.5) vs Maria Timofeeva (+1.5)
68%Game Spread: Naomi Osaka (-5.5) vs Maria Timofeeva (+5.5)
51%China Open: Completed Match: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka
50%Maria Timofeeva vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50%Timofeeva vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
50%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Naomi Osaka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Naomi Osaka.
This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Maria Timofeeva.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Naomi Osaka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Naomi Osaka.
This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Maria Timofeeva.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores