US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa - Sep 6, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa - Sep 6, 2026 — $286K volume · 50% Kasatkina vs. Badosa: Match O/U 23.5. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Kasatkina (+1.5)
53%US Open WTA: Completed Match: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa
50%Kasatkina vs. Badosa: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
50%Game Spread: Badosa (-2.5) vs Kasatkina (+2.5)
50%Kasatkina vs. Badosa: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
50%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Paula Badosa.
This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Daria Kasatkina.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Paula Badosa.
This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Daria Kasatkina.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores