World Cup: 3rd Place Finish
Live Polymarket analytics for World Cup: 3rd Place Finish — $451K volume. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., wins the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in third place. If multiple teams are officially awarded third place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for third place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 3rd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., wins the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in third place. If multiple teams are officially awarded third place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for third place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 3rd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.