UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) - Oct 4, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) - Oct 4, 2026 — $124K volume · 77% O/U 0.5 Rounds. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
O/U 0.5 Rounds
77%O/U 1.5 Rounds
72%O/U 2.5 Rounds
68%Fight to Go the Distance
63%the fight
62%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Marvin Vettori" if Marvin Vettori is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026.
It will resolve to "Ismail Naurdiev" if Ismail Naurdiev is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Marvin Vettori" if Marvin Vettori is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026.
It will resolve to "Ismail Naurdiev" if Ismail Naurdiev is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events