UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) - Jul 26, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) - Jul 26, 2026 — $735K volume · 51% O/U 0.5 Rounds. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
the fight
99%O/U 0.5 Rounds
51%Ismael Bonfim
47%Will Axel Sola win by KO or TKO
47%O/U 1.5 Rounds
25%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Ismael Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026.
It will resolve to "Axel Sola" if Axel Sola is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Related Markets
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Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Ismael Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026.
It will resolve to "Axel Sola" if Axel Sola is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events