UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims) - Jul 12, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims) - Jul 12, 2026 — $285K volume · 53% O/U 0.5 Rounds. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)
90%Gable Steveson
72%the fight
66%O/U 0.5 Rounds
53%O/U 1.5 Rounds
23%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.
It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.
It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events