Capitals vs. Lightning - Oct 3, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for Capitals vs. Lightning - Oct 3, 2026 — $107K volume · 81% Capitals vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
O/U 4.5
81%O/U 5.5
59%O/U 6.5
48%Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
42%Capitals vs. Lightning
36%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores