China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone - Oct 7, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone - Oct 7, 2026 — $101K volume · 66% Minaur vs. Navone: Match O/U 21.5. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
100%Minaur vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
91%Minaur vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
91%China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone
79%Minaur vs. Navone: Match O/U 21.5
66%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Mariano Navone in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Mariano Navone.
This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Alex de Minaur.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Related Markets
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Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Mariano Navone in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Mariano Navone.
This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Alex de Minaur.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current