China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta - Oct 8, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta - Oct 8, 2026 — $84.9K volume · 68% Medvedev vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta
84%Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta
80%Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta
70%Medvedev vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5
68%Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)
61%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.
This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Daniil Medvedev.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.
This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Daniil Medvedev.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current