National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi - Aug 12, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi - Aug 12, 2026 — $66.1K volume · 57% Marozsan vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 21.5. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
Marozsan vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
77%Marozsan vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 21.5
57%National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi
56%Marozsan vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
56%Set 2 Winner: Marozsan vs Arnaldi
55%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Matteo Arnaldi in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Matteo Arnaldi.
This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Fabian Marozsan.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Matteo Arnaldi in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Matteo Arnaldi.
This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Fabian Marozsan.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current