China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea - Oct 6, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea - Oct 6, 2026 — $140K volume. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
Machac vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
100%Machac vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
100%Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea
100%Set Handicap: Arthur Gea (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5)
100%Game Spread: Arthur Gea (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5)
100%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Arthur Gea in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Arthur Gea.
This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Tomas Machac.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Arthur Gea in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Arthur Gea.
This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Tomas Machac.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current