Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov - Oct 17, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov - Oct 17, 2026 — $54K volume · 63% Fils vs. Kotov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
Completed Match: Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov
97%Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov
90%Set 1 Winner: Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov
82%Set 2 Winner: Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov
75%Set Handicap: Arthur Fils (-1.5) vs Pavel Kotov (+1.5)
70%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Pavel Kotov in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Pavel Kotov.
This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Arthur Fils.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Related Markets
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Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Pavel Kotov in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Pavel Kotov.
This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Arthur Fils.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current