Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz - Oct 17, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz - Oct 17, 2026 — $95.2K volume · 50% Arnaldi vs. Fritz: Match O/U 21.5. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
Arnaldi vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
100%Arnaldi vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
100%Arnaldi vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
100%Completed Match: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz
98%Set Handicap: Taylor Fritz (-1.5) vs Matteo Arnaldi (+1.5)
76%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Taylor Fritz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Taylor Fritz.
This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Matteo Arnaldi.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Taylor Fritz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Taylor Fritz.
This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Matteo Arnaldi.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current