Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur - Oct 4, 2026
Live Polymarket analytics for Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur - Oct 4, 2026 — $318K volume · 50% Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5. Whale positions, bot activity, and order book depth on PolyCollect.
Leading Outcomes
Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur
66%Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
61%Set Handicap: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Carlos Alcaraz (+1.5)
57%Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+1.5)
56%Laver Cup: Completed Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur
54%
Key metrics
Score = Volume + Liquidity + Spread. Whales add a small bonus.
Labels :
- Prime — score 88+ (after rounding), or strong volume + liquidity + tight spread with whales; not Thin
- Active — solid but below Prime thresholds
- Thin — low volume or wide spread (harder to trade size)
- Avoid — dead / illiquid, or market is closed
Not a prediction of how the market resolves
Number of seals (5K+), sharks (25K+) and whales (50K+) present in this market, throughout all outcomes
Outcome Analysis
Per-outcome prices, flow & whale positions
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur in the Laver Cup, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Alex de Minaur.
This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Related Markets
TrendingTrending by 24h net flow
Resolution Criteria
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur in the Laver Cup, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Alex de Minaur.
This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current